Mind that there are 2 NASDAQ indexes in the market which are NASDAQ-100 (^NDX), closing on Oct 8 is 25136, there only have100 major components of the market and NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC), closing on Oct 8 is 22,986.05, which covers all components in the market. Don’t mix it up!
Mind that how they fix the components. All earning stocks, fast growing stocks are listed, and those sluggish stocks and low earning stocks are kicked off. That is why the US stocks indexes rise forever and ever more. Three major indices are like this, using the same method. The whole world follows Wall Street. This means in the long run, all stocks will only rise and never falls. Is this system a self-contentment? Anyway, we have to follow no matter it is logical, reasonable or not.
Practically, some people turned to buy ETF concerning indexes like S&P, NASDAQ and Dow Jones. Anything wrong? Nothing. But subconsciously, people want to buy a stock running faster than the market, if you buy the stock ETF, you surely will be disappointed, your ETF will never rise faster than the market, because they denote the market standard. But some people may say the S&P index only rise 12% on the average and NASDAQ 24% on the average, so better buy ETF concerning NASDAQ. That means you limited your earnings to 24% only. How about the profit of Warren Buffet which can be 3000% to 4000%? Is it an action of Kamikaze (suicidal plane of Japan) when in comparison?
Investment should include both long term and short term. How about medium term which of 5 years? What will happen in the next 5 years? Stargate, Mars Landing and Pay and Performance scheme of Elon Musk are also major market movers which can be envisage now.
Stargate is the largest private project investment and has been running for 8 months, its hotness can be seen in October, after the starting of rate cut cycle. October is also known as Uptober which denotes the rise of crypto. CRCL and COIN has nice performance but MSTR which said by AI in late August can rise 573.85% in one month, at that time it was at the price of $358.13 and today it not only has no rise but also fell to $320.13. The fall is not so great indeed less than 10%, but when in expectation of rising 573.85% is a great difference. I still believe AI is very powerful and very strong in analysis, but not infallible. This is a very good example. We still need AI very much, but also need our own idea and own analysis before the birth of super-AI and super-super-AI.
As for Mars Landing project, it is no doubt that the AI said China cannot overtake US to land first, even they try hard but US will still land on Mars first. But one more thing to remind, on the Moon project. China is in co-operation with Russia to land on South Pole of the Moon and to explore the water ice reserve underground. Even US landed 6 times with 12 crews on the Moon but all are around the equator area. They stopped exploration because there was no competitor. Now the rise of China makes the seizure of Moon energy will be in fierce competition in South Pole. Mind that both GROK and GPT-5 both forecasted the culmination of investment will be in 2028. For those that wish to invest in Mars related stocks, do not wait until 2028, it will be too late and too late.
For the Elon Musk pay and performance scheme, it still needs to be passed in the annual meeting in December, but since they have shifted to Texas, which will be easier, but please do not look down upon Musk, he is a superman, he can achieve a lot of impossible tasks. So, what is his Achilles’ heels? He has already admitted he is too optimistic. Therefore, when he expects his non-monitored Full Self Driving can have mass production in mid-2026 for commercial usage, we better schedule it can come true in late-2026 so as not to be disappointed. Anyway, it will come out, but may be later.