Since Dec 2024, S&P has gone up to level of 6000, and in Jan and Feb also shuttling up and down this level. Now is in the same level. The yearly outlook of 2025 actually was quite positive, but most people afraid of adjustment, they have prepared well for it, but did not know when will it comes, either first half or second half of the year. Now proved happened in first half, therefore the outlook of second half is more positive than January now.
Black swan and grey Rhino had already come and gone. Horrible tariff war and edge of nuclear war are all over. Why oil price and gold price dropped? Why this time is the exceptional case and not the Ukraine war or war in Gaza? Oil crisis dominated the earth since 1973, but had already gone away. Barrack Obama developed clean energy and shale oil. He said that it is the greatest project of US since the Landing on the Moon. In 2015, the oil production of US already surpassed Saudi Arabia, no need to depend on Middle East or any part of the world. US had the largest oil production since 2015. Henceforward, crisis of war would not affect petroleum or stock market as much as before.
Stock market will continue to rise in the next year, don’t forget in January, a lot of people are expecting S&P can reach 6600 this year. Now the chance is even greater than January. As a rule, for individual stocks, it’s too risky to chase high, better buy at low such as DXYZ, for the target should be at Landing on Mars in 2029 or 2030. GOOG is staying at low, and they are going to develop quantum computer. AMD just gone over the 250-SMA which can be said as a buying signal at low. MSTR, just retreated from high can buy now, anyway better than IPO of CRCL or JCAP which is an IPO on Thursday. People asked when can we buy the CRCL, very simple, refer to The Express on Jun 23rd (Mon). Just buy under the selling price of Cathy Wood which is $151. It is hard to wait for her buying price of $96. But when over $151, she found too high and should sell and not buy.