The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of Bitcoin of past 13 years is 99.05%, as shown in page 4. But it does not mean it will forever be growing like this. As Grok 4.1 said its’s like assuming a teenager will keep growing 10 inches per year forever. In October 2025, Bitcoin met with a record high of $123,361 and now just under $90,000 and rebounded up. A lot of people would ask, when will it go back to the top? The conservative way is that by Dec 2026, it would only go up to $119,000, but most optimistic forecast is $155,000. So, if you use full payment to buy a coin, no matter digital coin or in paper wallet, its worthy of, but don’t trade in margin, it will make you totally get loss very soon.
What I really want to say is that AI is the same, don’t think said its’s like assuming a teenager will keep growing 10 inches per year forever. Even if it is not a bubble, but still can be overestimated. Therefore, adjustment is normal. On the other hand, when the fall comes, don’t be so pessimistic. The market will not rise forever, the same is that it will not fall forever.
Watch the Fear & Greed Index, when it is under 12 points, if you buy in, normally can see a prominent rise in a few weeks, but not overnight.
When the fall comes, the year line of 250-SMA is a nice standard of support, so when stocks are far above this line, they are strong and have anti-falling power. GOOG is benefitted by the purchase of Berkshire, anyway I always say try the top 10 or top 20 market capitalization, it already has great anti-falling power, and also strong leading power in a rise. It is worthier to buy those do not fall but do not rise stocks. NVDA is the King of Kings, will lead the market to go up again as what Bitcoin did, don’t worry!