First of all, mind the government shut down where the deadline is January 31st. GPT5 said it has no relation with the ICE enforcement but practically the opposition party will ban the budget. Grok said the chance of shutting down is 79%. Hopefully in the future the AGI (super AI) can be smarter. In November the government re-opens the shutdown with a grace period which the deadline is Jan 31, some AI forgot to link this up for I had not told them to do so.
AI is powerful, but not almighty, it still needs your guidance in order to elaborate more.
Already said inside US, people concerned the ICE enforcement more than Iran and the icy Greenland which is so far away. But investment in US stock market should mind everything on earth and even beyond earth. Not just in the field of stock market, but should also mind what is happening in gold market, silver market and copper market. They are on record high but crypto market is falling. Why we have to mind ICE (ice)? The Artemis program is shooting on Feb 6 (UTC), that is Feb 7 in Asia. There is ice (water reserve) under the crest confirmed in the Moon and Mars.
In April 2013, when gold fell, Chinese big mother (housewives) surged out to buy gold and made it rose a little, even big shots in Wall Street kept calm and stopped action, but in May it fell back again. Now end-users in China had to line up for 7 to 8 hours in order to buy gold. This time what we have to see is not again big mothers, at their back there are central banks buying. So, we must view thing from all sides and not just one side. In 2013 gold is falling, in 2026, gold is on record high.
Jan 27-28 is the FOMC meeting, where interest rate is expected to keep unchanged. However, this time shut down is more important than FOMC meeting. In the shutdown of last time in November, do you still remember a lot of economic indicators needed to be postponed or cancelled?
Don’t forget the Artemis II project, ice (water reserve) will be one of the major targets. Mars is so far away from us, a single journey needs 6 to 7 months, which means always going to and back is not so practical, even the ice (water reserve) under the crest is more than the moon, but when it is consumed up, what will come next? Anyway, the gravity of Mars is just 1/3 of the earth and the Moon is 1/6, so Mars is more suitable for human body and bones. In Mars a day is 24.6 hours, in the Moon is 29 earth days. Mars is more habitable to human being but the distance is too far away. NASA crew landing will be on 2030 and SpaceX will be 2032. Anyway, the project is not for just a single landing and will be a project of at least 20 years. China has not yet given up and still wish to land on Mars earlier than US, but quite hard indeed. Anyway, still a lot of countries like EU, India, UAE and Japan has their own projects. Last year I used one year to said buy Mars Landing stocks before it is too late.
Now all Mars related stocks had rocketed up, but how about gold and silver, quite risky to chase high even still looking good. Crypto is falling and can buy at low if you do not afraid of further falling. Cathy Wood said year 2026 is a year of crypto. Too many stocks wished to buy, but for retail investors too little capital left in hand. This is the general dilemma. So must study thoroughly before action.
Basically, illegal immigrants should be controlled. However, if the ICE enforcement unit is over-exercising their power, it equals to first class murdering. In the 1980s, Hong Kong faced the problem of Vietnam refugees, a lot of boatmen arrived day by day. At length, the Hong Kong government gave a deadline of amnesty. There is a grace period of 7 days, and all underground immigrants can report to the authority and become legal residence. However, strict legal action on borderline is carrying out to prevent illegal immigration. Those that can arrive downtown can become legal residence. Thus, there will not be any turmoil in downtown. In borderline, there will be no general citizens, no social workers, no onlookers…… But the United Nation still owed HK government HK$1.16 billion (US$148.76 million), not yet paid till today.
Anway, Trump is facing a hard time in midterm election, in shut down deadline, in ICE enforcement. His aim is to drive out 10 million illegal immigrants in his 4-year term, but every year at most can drive out 1 million. How about the rest? Statistics shown prisoners of US are mostly colored people. Basically, every country needs to control illegal immigrants and just see how they carry out the enforcement.