After a fighting of 20 days, both the US and Iran are ready for the final blow. Technically, the US had destroyed all major firepower of Iran, but it’s not a victory. For even Iran just has a remaining firepower of 1% or even less still can make detrimental harm to ships passing the Hormuz Strait. However, Iran cannot claim successful blocking the Strait is a victory, for their supreme leader and 48 keymen were killed at the first blow and more followed thenceforward. So, is the war at a deadlock at the current stage?
Certainly not!
The US is ready to have the Marine Corps take special action to land on the small islands of the Strait and to seize them as unsinkable aircraft carriers. It is quite hard to destroy the small kamikaze drones for it can be carried by a single soldier elsewhere along the coast. Trump is ready to sweep off everything, even shooting at any single suspicious person near the coastline within the flying distance of their Shahed series, Mohajer and Ababil armed drones. Basically, they are just primary weapons when in comparison to the US. However, they are enough to pose a threat with the special geographical situation of Hormuz Strait. Just see how the Houthis and Ansar Allah (partisans of God) gave threats to the Red Sea. The Houthis are just a rabble when compared with the Iranian official force. Hormuz Strait is strategically more difficult to access than the Red Sea.
No matter which side wins, it will be a pyrrhic victory, or the cost is so high that it equals to be defeated. This may be the destiny of Trump. If you say Trump will be defeated, a lot of people would not agree; better say the cost of victory equals to being defeated especially in prestige. It should be more acceptable.
What should investors do?
If you purchased NVDA on the first day of Oct 2025, the price is slightly higher than now. But if you purchased on the last day of July 2025, still a little higher than now. You better buy today because it goes horizontally for a long time. If you can find out which stock is most suitable for you, and which month to invest, it will be marvellous. Everyone has their most favourite number and time for investment, no matter for buying of lottery or investing in stock market. Even if you look good on NVDA, the first rank of top 10 in the world, but if you buy at the right time, you are more profitable.
By using Five Elements of ancient China, which are gold, wood, water, fire and earth, everyone can be a better investor. It cannot make you as rich as Elon Musk or Jensen Huang; but anyway, today is better than yesterday, this year better than last year. Such a unique course of digging out your own luck will be launched by the end of April and you can hardly find it in other parts of this planet.
About the Author
Daniel Yue has been an active investor since 1980, with experience spanning stocks, currencies, futures, metals, and bonds. A scholar of the Chicago School of Economics, he holds a Certificate with Distinction from Cambridge University and a degree in International Trading from National Taiwan University. He served as Chief Analyst for over 30 years and Chief Mentor at Sincere Finance. In 2017, he received an award from the University of Arizona for financial internship leadership.
The analysis and opinions expressed in this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
About the Author
Daniel Yue has been an active investor since 1980, with experience spanning stocks, currencies, futures, metals, and bonds. A scholar of the Chicago School of Economics, he holds a Certificate with Distinction from Cambridge University and a degree in International Trading from National Taiwan University. He served as Chief Analyst for over 30 years and Chief Mentor at Sincere Finance. In 2017, he received an award from the University of Arizona for financial internship leadership.
The analysis and opinions expressed in this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.