Catherine Wood once said that year 2026 is a year of crypto, now I understand it does not mean it will rise or lead the market to rise, but it will give a surprise to the market by a running of roller coaster.
Bitcoin had dropped from height of October 6 which is 125251 to 63119 of Feb 5. It is time for rebounding according to the Fibonacci series of 0.50. So, if you enter into the market today, you can proudly tell others you are buying at a level lower than Cathy Wood who purchased last Mon and Tue. Even if you entered that day, you are exactly at the same level as she is. Quite nice indeed! Already said the room for falling is quite limited after a drop of 4 months. COIN is in Wave 5 of falling wave and turned upward after the Nine flying Daggers, that is 8 black candlesticks will be followed by a white rebound on the 9th day according to the Fibonacci series of 1,1,2,3,5,8……
If you have a market diary, you can check that in 20250826, the AI said MSTR will rise 573.85% in one month and rise 662% in Dec 2025. At that time, it was $358.13 and now $134.93. Therefore, you can know that even AI is very powerful, still have a lot of things unable to do. So, when you understand AI more, you can do something they are unable to do, thus you will be not be eliminated by another capable AI user, and you can kick those incapable users out of the market instead of being kicked off.
AI is unable to tell you when the highest point of the market will come, so any falling will just aroused terror in the market and afraid of black swan or gey rhino, but actually another mini golden pit. If you have a market diary, you can realize the change started from Nov when all financial reports are in good result but their price just go horizontally and not upward. That’s why NASDAQ, TSLA and NVDA reached lower part of the ranging zone, people afraid of bloody bear market. But at the same time TSM near record high, no one feels bull. But when AMZN and PLTR broke the lower support, even S&P is still in the middle point, people said bar market already started.
Due to leak of hydrogen, the launching of Artemis II is postponed, the launching day is on 11th Mar 2026. Now, most of the Mars Landing stocks are on record high or near record high, but some related stocks still having a chance to catch up during the mini golden pit of this month. They are RDW, they do not manufacture rockets, but only systems of supply of electricity for usage in inside the rockets. Price at very low level now. Also, ONDS, they do not sell drones, but only communications among them for supervising, price retreating. ASTS, using blue bird satellites for mobile, that is without the Elon Musk Starlink can have the same function on your I-phone now, price retreating. FLY is a commercial space company at a very low-price level now. LUNR is a commercial space centre at Houston, aiming at the moon project and not Mars, price retreating but having a big white candlestick upward now.
So, is the current AI a bubble or just overestimated? If it is just too optimistic or having overestimation on individual stocks, its no wrong. After the correction or mini golden pit, it will burst up again. Even February is said to be a drop in most of the times, but with such a space project coming in March, how can we say the bull market ends here?
It is not an end but a beginning. From another angle, people say year 2026 is the year zero of AI. Some people are always waiting for AGI (super AI), but according to the Nature, the AGI era has already started. It is a report by California University San Diego campus, the change is as thrilling as Nicolaus Copernicus, earth is not the centre of universe, the sun is the centre and the earth is circulating round the sun, not the sun circulating round the earth.
What is AGI era? By 2030, 70-80% of the current job will be replaced by AI. It would not come all of a sudden, instead it would come gradually. Based upon early 2026, by Dec 2026, 10% of the current human job will be replaced by AI, and Dec 2027 will be 20%, Dec 2028 will be 40%, Dec 2029 will be 60%, Dec 2030 will be 70-80% based upon the standard of early 2026. The coverage will be not just blue collar replacing white collar, but in every aspect including Full Self Driving, humanoid robot replacing housemaid. AGI will replace AI, and ASGI will replace AGI in 2030.
It is a great and grand topic and need some time to explain. What a small potato can do now? To learn AI at once, to invest AI at once. Not just investing in AI stocks, but invest yourself in the field of AI. AGI will be replaced by ASGI in 2030.