The Christmas Rally or Santa Claus Rally has two meanings. The narrow meaning denotes the last 5 trading days of December plus the first two trading days of January. The broader meaning covers the whole week of Thanksgiving Day till New Year. Anyway, when it rises, it denotes the next year will rise, or else the next year will fall.
I have already said numerous; statistics normally is correct but the hardest point is not asking you to follow the majority. The hardest point is to find out when will the exception comes. It is very easy to follow the 70% side, but still have a chance of 30% of minority. Practically, 30% is not a small chance, if you place all your eggs in one basket, 30% can kill you 3 times out of 10. You can only live once!
So how about this time, should we follow the majority or minority? I am not talking the grand picture of 10 years that you surely can win 7 times, so would not mind 3 times of losing. Only if your investment is the same amount every year, but actually impossible. Say it simple, recently we have Bitcoins where the previous statistics in the market are lack of. This December, a new Federal Reserve chair will be fixed, but not every year has such a change. This year we have a crazy man called Donald Trump whose policies need to be up-date, up-hour, up-minute and up-second, the other times would not have such a madman. Just see the peace talk in Russia and Ukraine, once said can be solved in 48 hours and then 100 days and now no one has any immediate hope on it, but he still wants to get the Nobel Prize.
Not every year will have such a revolution on driverless driving which started in 2020 by GOOG, but now still cannot be export to other countries, while China is exporting Full Self Driving to Middle East but Elon Musk is still thinking the date of removing the safe guard person on his robotaxi. He also admits he himself is always optimistic and still hope version 14.2 of FSD can be on the street in December. The other years would not have a Genisis Mission just announced on November 24th, the starting of Thanksgiving Week. It is the greatest project since Apollo of 1969. So wide open your eyes to read the elaborations of AI please.